Winnipeg Manitoba - NDP Premier Greg Selinger, whose political life is hanging by a thread, will attempt to bolster his chances for re-election
when his government announces plans for a comprehensive process to relocate major rail lines running through Winnipeg, including the CPR Winnipeg
Yards.
Government sources confirmed Monday's throne speech will contain a commitment to striking a special committee of government and private-sector representatives,
including officials from CN and CP, that will begin the arduous task of negotiating a deal to remove most of the railway assets that criss-cross the city
now.
The sources said that group could be unveiled as early as next month.
The relocation of the CP Winnipeg yards is a particularly pressing matter, given the city is facing the prospect of replacing the Arlington Bridge, one of the
key crossings that connects the North End to downtown over the rail yards, and increase traffic capacity on other routes.
The city announced in September the century-old Arlington Bridge was beyond repair, with a new bridge expected to cost hundreds of millions of
dollars.
In addition, the city expects to pay hundreds of millions of additional dollars to widen underpasses, or construct new tunnels, to move growing traffic volumes
over or under the rail yards.
Government sources said Selinger will argue all this money would be better spent on a trilateral plan to move the CP yards and repurpose the land on which it
sits now.
He is further expected to argue untold future property taxes from new developments could help pay for the upfront costs of relocating the yards and reclaiming
the old land.
Political critics are likely to portray it as an empty promise that cannot possible make any progress before next April's election.
The NDP clearly hopes the promise of future change will be enough to breathe life into its moribund electoral hopes.
Notwithstanding the politics, it is unprecedented to have the major railways involved in a group charged with formulating a relocation plan.
To date, the railways have been aloof whenever the subject of relocation was raised by elected officials.
For Selinger, who over the last year had a near-death experience after a group of cabinet ministers tried to force him out, progress on railway relocation
could be the realization of a life-long dream.
In his days before politics, Selinger lobbied municipal and provincial governments to remove the CP yards to remove a physical rift between the city's famed
North End and downtown.
His interest in the subject continued in the late 1990s, when he used his failed experience trying to get government to move the yards as the subject of his
PhD thesis at the London School of Economics.
Since Selinger became a provincial politician, there has been no progress on the relocation of the CP yards.
Some of the reasons for Selinger's inaction were beyond his control, others are less flattering.
First, it's obvious Selinger is not sitting on a pot of discretionary money that could be used to get rail relocation moving.
This is a government mired in deficit and absent an effective plan for bringing the budget back into surplus.
Complicating matters is that over the past four years, Manitoba has been forced to pay out hundreds of millions of dollars to fight, mitigate, and repair the
damage from repeated floods.
It's hard to undertake game-changing, once-in-a-generation, capital projects when you're (literally) trying to keep your head above water.
Finally, Selinger had to deal with the fact his predecessor, Gary Doer, committed the province to a pair of enormous public works projects, the expansion of
the Red River Floodway, and the construction of the Canadian Museum for Human Rights, that consumed large amounts of federal infrastructure funding and
goodwill.
It is against this backdrop Selinger will make a bid to accomplish something that has evaded local, provincial, and federal politicians in this city for more
than 40 years.
It helps that this initiative is being launched at a time when there is a new Liberal government in Ottawa with an activist bent and a pledge to significantly
increase infrastructure funding.
There is a pre-existing federal legislative process in place to guide rail relocation projects, in part to ensure the railways do not suffer financially in
order to move their assets.
Unfortunately, that legislation has not been used in more than 20 years.
There is a chance this will be viewed as little more than a Selinger legacy project, something lame-duck leaders launch when they know the end is
nearing.
And without a doubt, the timing of the initiative is somewhat suspect.
Given Selinger's deep and apparently sincere interest in the project, there is really no good excuse for waiting until now, when he is fully in the shadow of
an impending provincial election, to announce a working group.
It's also not clear what kind of political benefit Selinger can glean from the issue.
The relocation of the CP central yards, in particular, has the potential to change the future fortunes of the city.
However, the CP yards on their own may not have a huge political upside in areas of the province where the NDP needs to hold seats to stay in
power.
Of course, as this process is more fully revealed, it's possible we could see a broader political strategy.
Particularly if, along with moving the CP yards, the NDP is able to move smaller lines.
Government sources confirmed the process outlined in the throne speech will likely not evolve quickly enough to remove the need to build the $175-million
Waverley underpass, a priority project for the large and growing population of southwest Winnipeg.
However, there are still a host of secondary rail lines, some of which run right through dense residential neighbourhoods, such as River Heights, that could be
erased, much to the delight of locals.
At this stage, it is impossible to avoid portraying any pledge from the Selinger government as part of the NDP's re-election strategy.
And there is a chance it could breathe life into the premier's fading hopes.
However, one would hope that once started, any government would continue to persue a project that has the very real potential to fundamentally change the
future of Winnipeg.
Dan Lett.